I’m on vacation and have only skimmed the Fisher opinions, but it doesn’t
look like much has changed as a result of this case.
The Court said the 5th Circuit
failed to really apply strict
scrutiny by essentially deferring to the University regarding whether (and how
much) race-consciousness was necessary and scrutinizing the program only for “good
faith,” which I guess means that the asserted diversity objective is in fact
genuine (as opposed to some insidious motive, e.g., racism or attempting to
gain a racial advantage).
The 5th Cir. can be forgiven for its deferential
posture, I think, given that the language of O’Connor’s opinion for the Court
in Grutter suggested that a certain
amount of deference to the judgment of professional educators was appropriate. Nonetheless, it’s understandable and not at
all surprising that the current Court majority would think some more-exacting
scrutiny of means is required.
But of course the Court still hasn’t given us any sort of
formula for what kind of exacting scrutiny is needed. Kennedy’s opinion for the Court says we need
to ask whether the means chosen are “‘necessary’ … to achieve the educational
benefits of diversity.” But there’s not
much discussion of what this might entail.
Which, again, is not surprising, partly because an in-depth explanation
would require a good explanation of precisely what the “educational benefits of
diversity” really are (which, even if Kennedy were willing to embark on such an
explanation, probably would have scared off some of the more-conservative
Justices); partly because the Court continues to reject “quotas” or other
quantitative measures of diversity; and (largely for this latter reason) partly
because the narrow-tailoring assessment inevitably will be extremely
fact-sensitive.
So the application of strict scrutiny in these cases will
remain a matter of “I know it when I see it”:
If you can convince five Justices on the Court (or, in most cases, two
judges on a Court of Appeals) that a program is not truly “necessary … to
achieve the educational benefits of diversity,” whatever they are and whatever
that means, then you can win your challenge.
Nothing really new here.
This case also reaffirms that Kennedy is on the fence about
of affirmative action – he’s not against it in theory, but he hasn’t found an
actual example of it that he likes. We
knew this from his opinions in Grutter
and Gratz and has subsequent opinion
in Parents Involved, and his opinion
here tells us that nothing’s changed.
And this case reaffirms that Scalia and Thomas will vote
against any affirmative-action program, although Scalia was
uncharacteristically coy about stating that in his brief concurrence.
The main thing this case adds to our understanding of the
issue is that Roberts is not categorically opposed to affirmative action – all
indications are his stance is closer to Kennedy’s than to Scalia’s and Thomas’s
(otherwise presumably he would have joined one of their opinions or written a
separate concurrence). So that’s modest good
news for affirmative-action supporters.
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